According to the latest polls, Vice President Kamala Harris is trailing among key voters who have supported Democrats by large margins in the past four presidential elections.
Harris, despite millions more joining the nation’s second-largest voting bloc and refraining from voting in 2024, according to the NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC Latino Poll released Sunday. is lagging behind its leftist predecessors among voters who identify as Latino. General election.
“Polls show that Harris has 54% approval rating among registered Latino voters, compared to 40% for Trump, with another 6% saying they are unsure or won’t vote. “The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points,” the network found.
Harris’ numbers are actually better than they were when President Joe Biden was heading into the general election, but they’re still far short of the spread seen in past election cycles. According to the pollster, Democratic candidates won a 39-point lead among Latinos in 2012, a 50-point lead in 2016 and a 29-point lead in 2020. took the lead.
A similar trend was seen when voters were asked who they wanted to control Congress, despite Democrats holding a 12-point lead, a difference that was not seen in 2012. In 2016, there was a 34-point difference, and in 2020, there was a 21-point difference, the study said, with the 45-point difference “indicating a steady decline.”
NBC reported that “54% of Latino voters want a Democratic-led Congress, while 42% want a Republican administration.”
The pollster says the root of the disparity among key voting groups is among Latino men under 50 who don’t have college degrees. Those voters support Mr. Trump by about a 12-point margin. Meanwhile, Harris outperformed college-educated Latina men and college-educated Latina women by 52 points and 24 points, respectively.
“The Democratic Party’s solid support from Hispanic and Latina women is helping offset some of that decline,” the network said.
An estimated 36.2 million Latinos are eligible to vote in the general election this year, according to Pew Research. This is up from 32.3 million people in 2020. According to Pew, the Latino voting pool is growing by 1.4 million people each year.
Pollsters also asked about improving immigrant rights, securing borders, fighting crime, reproductive rights, the economy and increasing the cost of living. Harris won by wide margins on abortion and immigration rights, and by 5 points on crime, but polls show more Latino voters favor Trump on securing the border, handling the economy and fighting inflation. It has been shown that people like
“A majority of Latinos polled (54% combined) say the cost of living and the economy are their biggest issues,” the pollster wrote.
About one-third of Latinos surveyed feel that immigration is a net negative for the country, the highest sentiment among this group in nearly 20 years.
“62% of Latino voters think immigration helps more than it hurts, while 35% think immigration does more harm than good. But immigration helps.” “The 35% who said it would do more harm than good was the highest percentage of Latino voters who said so in a question dating back to 2006,” NBC reported.
The poll was conducted from September 16th to 23rd and spoke to 1,000 registered Latino voters. Half of the calls were made by mobile phone, 10% by landline, and the rest via the web. There is a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 points.
The poll comes as other recent polls show Harris maintaining narrow leads in several key battleground states.
According to a Fox News poll of about 800 voters, Harris is running in Pennsylvania with 49% of the vote, tied with former President Donald Trump. The network said the race had exactly the same ranking in July after Biden resigned but before Harris officially became the party’s nominee.
“Her support remains stable among two other sources of strength: college graduates and urban voters,” Fox wrote.
These results are in line with a poll released late last week by the Massachusetts Lowell Public Opinion Center and YouGov that gave Harris a two-point lead.
“The presidential election remains close in Pennsylvania, and the next few weeks will be critical for both sides. As you would expect in a competitive race with few undecided voters, they are mobilizing their supporters. “Voting strategies will become increasingly important to ensure that people turn out to vote on election day,” Rodrigo Castro Cornejo, director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lowell Professor and Associate Professor at the Center for Public Opinion, said in conjunction with the poll.
A poll of Michigan voters conducted by The New York Times and Siena College shows the vice president leading by just 1 point among likely voters, and the same poll in Wisconsin shows the vice president leading by 2 points. It turned out that he was in the lead by a margin. The Times said the races were “essentially even.”
The UML/YouGov poll shows Harris up 5 points in Michigan, just over the poll’s margin of error of 4.3 points.
“The Trump campaign has negative favorability ratings in Michigan, but they need to overcome that if they want to remain competitive in the state,” Cornejo said.
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris waves to reporters as she arrives at Los Angeles International Airport on Saturday. (AP Photo/Etienne Laurent)
