Since the last presidential election, the Latino population has grown at the second-fastest rate of any major racial/ethnic group in the U.S. electorate. There are an estimated 36.2 million voters this year, up from 32.3 million in 2020. This represents 50% of the total increase in the number of voters during this period.
Each year, approximately 1.4 million Hispanics gain the right to vote in the United States.
A Pew Research Center analysis of verified voters found that then-President Donald Trump gained support among Hispanics in 2020; (59%) voted for current President Joe Biden. In presidential elections, Hispanic American turnout is typically lower than that of other groups.
As the next presidential election approaches, here are five important facts about Hispanic voters in the United States, based on our own projections for 2024 and Census Bureau data from past years. (Voters in this analysis are defined as citizens age 18 or older residing in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Not all voters are actually registered to vote. Detailed population of Hispanic voters You can see the stats in the dropdown box at the bottom of this post.
This post is one in a series examining the U.S. voter population in 2024. This analysis examines the detailed demographics and geographic distribution of Hispanic Americans eligible to vote in the United States in 2022 and the November 2024 voter population.
“Voter” means a citizen of the United States who is 18 years of age or older. The analysis focuses on people living in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. For this analysis, Hispanics are people who identify as Hispanic or Latino, regardless of race. Black and Asian populations include people who identify as only one race, multiple races, and both Hispanic and non-Hispanic.
This analysis was based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey for 2022, 2020, 2016, 2012, and 2008, as well as data from the 2000 U.S. Community Survey provided through the University of Minnesota’s Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS). Based on annual census.
The November 2024 projections are based on 2010-2022 American Community Surveys (IPUMS) data and population projections by race, Hispanic origin, and nativity produced by the Census Bureau. Projected percentages of the U.S. population by age are based on trends from the 2010-2022 American Community Surveys (IPUMS).
Read other posts in this series
By November 2024, the percentage of Latinos among all eligible voters is expected to reach 14.7%, a new record high. This percentage has steadily increased over the past two decades, and is up from 13.6% in 2020. By comparison, in 2000, Hispanics made up just 7.4% of the U.S. electorate.
The number of Hispanic voters has increased from 32.3 million in 2020 to a projected 36.2 million in November 2024. This is a 153% increase from 2000, when there were 14.3 million Hispanic voters.
California is home to a quarter of Hispanic voters. As of 2022, of the 33.7 million Hispanic voters in the United States, 25%, or about 8.5 million, will live in California. The states with the next largest number of Latino voters are Texas (6.5 million), Florida (3.5 million), New York (2.2 million) and Arizona (1.3 million).
Together, these five states account for about two-thirds (65%) of Hispanic voters.
In New Mexico, 45% of voters are Latino, the highest percentage of any state. New Mexico is also the only state where Latinos make up a higher percentage of the total voting population than any other race or ethnicity. This includes only white, non-Hispanic Americans, who make up 40% of New Mexico’s voters.
In California and Texas, Hispanics make up about one-third of the voting population (33% and 32%, respectively).
California and Texas are also the only states where white, non-Hispanic residents of another race make up a large but majority of the voting population (42% in California and 47% in Texas). ). Both states have the second-highest percentage of Hispanics among major racial/ethnic groups.
The states with the next largest percentage of Latino voters are Arizona (25%), Nevada (22%), Florida (22%), Colorado (17%), and New Jersey (16%). .
A small number of Latinos are eligible to vote in the United States. Just over half (53%) of all Latinos were eligible to vote in 2022.
However, the percentage varies widely by state with a Latino population of 50,000 or more. In New Mexico, 66% of Hispanics are eligible to vote. By contrast, Tennessee (36%) and Maryland (39%) had the lowest percentages of Latino voters.
Latinos are significantly less likely to be eligible to vote than Americans overall (53% vs. 72%). This is also because the country’s Latino population includes many people who are too young to vote or who are not U.S. citizens.
29% of Latin Americans are under the age of 18, compared to 22% in the United States overall. 19% of Latin Americans are not U.S. citizens, compared to 6% of the total U.S. population.
Latino immigrants who are not eligible to vote include permanent residents (green card holders) and those seeking to become permanent residents. People who are in the United States on a temporary visa. and illegal immigration.
Hispanic voters tend to be younger than the overall electorate. Only 33% of Latino voters are over 50, compared to 48% of all U.S. voters.
Latino voters differ from the broader electorate in other ways as well. For example, 21% of Hispanic voters have a bachelor’s degree or higher education, compared to 33% of all U.S. voters.
Detailed data on Hispanic voters by state in 2022
